Fuego FC vs One Knoxville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
44%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
8º
12º
9º
13
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
16 | 44 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
1º
|
22 | 40 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 39 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 38 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 37 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 31 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
|
5º
|
13 | 31 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 30 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
|
12º
|
4 | 21 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 21 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 19 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 17 |
12º
|
47% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
12% | 87% |
|
Mid-table
|
88% | 13% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuego FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
CVF
1 - 3
CHA
25%
24%
51%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CVF
2 - 4
CRW
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
RIC
3 - 2
CVF
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
CVF
1 - 2
EFS
34%
23%
43%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CVF
0 - 3
FMA
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
One Knoxville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
RIC
1 - 1
OKS
42%
26%
33%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
OKS
0 - 1
OMA
26%
27%
47%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
OKS
2 - 3
GTR
32%
23%
45%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
OKS
1 - 0
TOR
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
OKS
2 - 0
LSC
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |