Fuego FC vs Lexington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
8º
12º
12º
17
4º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 45 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 38 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 37 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 36 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 35 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 35 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
7º
|
71.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 24 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 23 |
9º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 23 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
11º
|
46% | |
|
|
12º
|
12 | 17 |
12º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 95% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuego FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CRW
1 - 2
CVF
69%
17%
14%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CVF
3 - 2
TOR
27%
24%
50%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
FMA
2 - 1
CVF
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
NCO
2 - 2
CVF
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
CVF
1 - 1
RIC
31%
24%
45%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Lexington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 3
LSC
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
LSC
2 - 1
RIC
24%
23%
53%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +3 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
LSC
1 - 2
TOR
19%
21%
60%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
LSC
2 - 4
OMA
20%
23%
58%
|
32 | 66 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
SPV
1 - 1
LSC
21%
19%
60%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |