Fuego FC vs Lexington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
7º
12º
12º
32
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuego FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
CVF
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
RIC
3 - 3
CVF
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CVF
4 - 4
FMA
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
CVF
1 - 2
CHA
23%
24%
52%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
LSC
3 - 2
CVF
15%
21%
64%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Lexington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
NCO
3 - 2
LSC
79%
14%
7%
|
29 | 60 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LSC
1 - 1
GTR
14%
21%
66%
|
28 | 55 | 27 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
LSC
1 - 0
RIC
13%
20%
67%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
OKS
1 - 0
LSC
78%
15%
8%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
LSC
3 - 2
CVF
15%
21%
64%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | +4 |