Fuego FC vs Lexington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
7º
12º
12º
32
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuego FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
CVF
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
RIC
3 - 3
CVF
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CVF
4 - 4
FMA
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
CVF
1 - 2
CHA
23%
24%
52%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
LSC
3 - 2
CVF
15%
21%
64%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | -2 |
Matches
Lexington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
NCO
3 - 2
LSC
79%
14%
7%
|
30 | 61 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LSC
1 - 1
GTR
14%
21%
66%
|
29 | 57 | 28 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
LSC
1 - 0
RIC
13%
20%
67%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
OKS
1 - 0
LSC
78%
15%
8%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
LSC
3 - 2
CVF
15%
21%
64%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | +4 |