Fuego FC vs Chattanooga Red Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
42.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
8º
12º
12º
16
5º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 45 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 38 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 37 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 36 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 35 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 35 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
7º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 24 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 23 |
9º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 23 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
11º
|
46% | |
|
|
12º
|
12 | 17 |
12º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 33% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 67% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuego FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
RIC
3 - 2
CVF
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
CVF
1 - 2
EFS
34%
23%
43%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CVF
0 - 3
FMA
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
FCF
1 - 2
CVF
10%
14%
75%
|
44 | 7 | 37 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CVF
1 - 2
OMA
22%
27%
51%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Chattanooga Red Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 1
CRW
27%
23%
50%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
CRW
4 - 2
BFC
82%
11%
7%
|
48 | 6 | 42 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
LSC
1 - 0
CRW
21%
23%
56%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
NCO
3 - 1
CRW
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CRW
2 - 2
GTR
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |