Ilbirs vs Aldier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilbirs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
FTS
1 - 2
DBI
18%
21%
62%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
FTS
2 - 1
KBA
71%
17%
12%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
MUR
3 - 1
FTS
67%
18%
15%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
TAL
0 - 2
FTS
73%
16%
11%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
DBI
2 - 0
FTS
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Aldier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
FKA
2 - 0
ALD
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 0
ALD
78%
14%
9%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
ALD
2 - 3
FKA
18%
20%
62%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
NEF
2 - 1
ALD
66%
19%
15%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
ALD
0 - 2
FKA
16%
18%
67%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | -1 |