FSV Hollenbach vs TSV Essingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
18.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
13º
11º
24
9º
18º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 88 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 76 |
2º
|
90.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 65 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 61 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 58 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 57 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 50 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 49 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 44 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 43 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 39 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 35 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 34 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
53.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 20 |
18º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97% | 95% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FSV Hollenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 1
FSV
42%
23%
35%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
FSV
2 - 2
NOT
25%
23%
53%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
REU
3 - 0
FSV
42%
22%
36%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FSV
3 - 1
BIS
38%
21%
41%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
GOP
7 - 0
FSV
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
TSV Essingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TSV
1 - 2
VFR
19%
20%
62%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SVF
1 - 0
TSV
56%
20%
24%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TSV
0 - 3
PFO
23%
24%
53%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FCV
2 - 1
TSV
51%
21%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
TSV
0 - 5
VFR
44%
22%
35%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -2 |