FSV Duisburg vs VSF Amern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
8.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SON
2 - 2
FSV
48%
22%
31%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FSV
3 - 0
STR
53%
21%
26%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FSV
1 - 1
VFB
49%
22%
30%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
KLE
1 - 0
FSV
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
FSV
4 - 1
NET
47%
22%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
VSF Amern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
VSA
1 - 2
SON
22%
21%
57%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
VSA
2 - 0
FCV
34%
23%
43%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SPE
4 - 1
VSA
71%
15%
14%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
VSA
1 - 1
VFR
60%
20%
20%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SHN
2 - 4
VSA
23%
21%
56%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |