FSV Duisburg vs Speldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
70.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
KRA
3 - 1
FSV
84%
11%
6%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FSV
0 - 11
FCL
32%
21%
47%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SCH
8 - 4
FSV
83%
12%
6%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
FSV
0 - 2
ERE
21%
21%
59%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
HNI
0 - 5
FSV
9%
15%
76%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Speldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SPE
2 - 3
SLO
62%
18%
20%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BWM
2 - 0
SPE
38%
21%
42%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SPE
2 - 2
SVB
37%
21%
41%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
SPV
1 - 3
SPE
31%
21%
48%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SPE
2 - 4
SGS
74%
14%
12%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |