FSV Duisburg vs SGS Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
58.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
DAK
3 - 2
FSV
77%
14%
9%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
FSV
3 - 4
SPE
13%
16%
71%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
KRA
3 - 1
FSV
84%
11%
6%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FSV
0 - 11
FCL
32%
21%
47%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SCH
8 - 4
FSV
83%
12%
6%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
SGS Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
SGS
6 - 1
SLO
36%
22%
42%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SGS
1 - 1
SVB
22%
21%
57%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SPV
0 - 2
SGS
42%
22%
36%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
SGS
1 - 1
DAK
33%
22%
45%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SPE
2 - 4
SGS
74%
14%
12%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |