FSV 90 Velten vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FSV 90 Velten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
LAS
6 - 0
FSV
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
FSV
1 - 2
BFC
43%
23%
34%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
WAC
3 - 1
FSV
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1996 |
COT
6 - 1
FSV
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1996 |
FSV
0 - 4
FCU
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
ERZ
1 - 0
REI
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
STA
1 - 1
ERZ
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
ERZ
2 - 1
ERF
52%
25%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
SSV
2 - 0
ERZ
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1996 |
ERZ
1 - 1
SGD
32%
27%
41%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |