FSK Ostrovets vs Fakel Novogrudok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
61.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+289%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
5º
11º
11º
18
1º
6º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 24 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 21 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 21 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
8 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 7 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 4 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FSK Ostrovets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SMO
3 - 1
FSK
84%
10%
6%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
FSK
3 - 0
FKL
9%
14%
77%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | +4 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
DYA
5 - 0
FSK
92%
6%
2%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
FCS
3 - 0
FSK
88%
9%
4%
|
11 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
OSH
0 - 0
FSK
93%
5%
2%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Fakel Novogrudok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
FNO
1 - 0
FCS
14%
16%
70%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
FNO
0 - 2
SMO
32%
21%
47%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
FKL
1 - 5
FNO
74%
15%
12%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
FNO
1 - 6
DYA
16%
17%
67%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
FCS
4 - 1
FNO
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |