FK Metta vs FK RFS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
58.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
5º
9º
9º
75
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
75 | 89 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 80 |
2º
|
95.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 67 |
3º
|
99.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 57 |
4º
|
99.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 44 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 37 |
6º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
35% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 34 |
9º
|
42% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 25 |
10º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 95.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 4.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
57% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
42% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 1
GRO
34%
25%
41%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 1
FKT
36%
24%
40%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
BFC
4 - 0
FSM
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FSM
3 - 0
FKJ
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 2
FSM
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
FK RFS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 1
RIG
24%
24%
53%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 0
BFC
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
FKJ
1 - 2
RIG
14%
22%
64%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
RIG
4 - 1
LIE
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 0
RIG
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |