Relegation Virsliga Final
Global 4-2
FK Metta vs Progress / AFA Olaine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
43.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2017 |
PRA
1 - 1
FSM
41%
23%
36%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
LIE
1 - 0
FSM
71%
19%
10%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
FKJ
1 - 1
FSM
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
FSM
0 - 2
CAR
22%
24%
53%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
FSM
2 - 0
RIG
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Progress / AFA Olaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2017 |
PRA
1 - 1
FSM
41%
23%
36%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
AUD
0 - 0
PRA
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
PRA
5 - 0
GRO
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
PRE
1 - 4
PRA
11%
19%
71%
|
56 | 25 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
PRA
2 - 0
SMI
66%
20%
15%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |