FK Metta vs FK Tukums 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
5º
9º
9º
27
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 88 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 79 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 70 |
3º
|
96% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 52 |
4º
|
90.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 46 |
5º
|
78.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 37 |
6º
|
42.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 35 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 34 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 26 |
10º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
52.5% | 68.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
40% | 31% |
|
Relegation
|
7.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FKB
0 - 4
FSM
4%
8%
88%
|
62 | 12 | 50 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
FSM
0 - 2
ARI
19%
21%
60%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
FSM
3 - 2
BFC
39%
27%
33%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
FKJ
1 - 0
FSM
32%
26%
43%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 5
FSM
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FKT
2 - 3
VAL
21%
20%
59%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
GRO
2 - 1
FKT
56%
21%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
FKT
1 - 2
BFC
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 0
FKT
28%
24%
48%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
FKT
2 - 1
LIE
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |