FK Metta vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
5º
9º
9º
21
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 89 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 80 |
2º
|
96.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 52 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 46 |
5º
|
85.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
43% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 33 |
9º
|
50% | |
|
|
10º
|
21 | 26 |
10º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
43.5% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
50% | 5.5% |
|
Relegation
|
6.5% | 92% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 2
LIE
27%
25%
48%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 0
FSM
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FSM
0 - 4
AUD
24%
26%
49%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 1
AUD
24%
23%
53%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FSM
2 - 4
CAR
21%
24%
55%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FKT
3 - 3
FKJ
59%
22%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 0
BFC
34%
28%
38%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
GRO
2 - 3
FKJ
74%
16%
10%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LIE
3 - 0
FKJ
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 4
VAL
13%
22%
66%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |