FK Metta vs Riga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
55.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
9º
7º
87
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 1
FSM
71%
17%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GRO
1 - 2
FSM
62%
20%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
FSM
0 - 0
FKT
42%
24%
34%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FKB
0 - 4
FSM
4%
8%
88%
|
63 | 13 | 50 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
FSM
0 - 2
ARI
19%
21%
60%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 5
CAR
23%
24%
53%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
SLA
3 - 1
CAR
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
BFC
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
SLA
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
CAR
6 - 1
FKJ
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | +1 |