FK Metta vs Riga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
55.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
5º
9º
9º
69
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 89 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
|
2º
|
69 | 80 |
2º
|
97% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 55 |
4º
|
94% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 46 |
5º
|
82.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
42% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 33 |
9º
|
49% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 26 |
10º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 3% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 97% |
|
Mid-table
|
43.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
49% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
7.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 1
FSM
71%
17%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GRO
1 - 2
FSM
62%
20%
19%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
FSM
0 - 0
FKT
42%
24%
34%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FKB
0 - 4
FSM
4%
8%
88%
|
62 | 12 | 50 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
FSM
0 - 2
ARI
19%
21%
60%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 5
CAR
23%
24%
53%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
SLA
3 - 1
CAR
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
BFC
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
SLA
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
CAR
6 - 1
FKJ
73%
18%
9%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | +1 |