Frosinone vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frosinone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
BEN
0 - 0
FRO
55%
25%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
PRG
2 - 2
FRO
30%
26%
43%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FRO
1 - 2
PIS
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 3
FRO
18%
24%
58%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
FRO
3 - 1
SSB
64%
21%
14%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
PAG
2 - 2
ASA
24%
28%
48%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SSB
0 - 1
PAG
62%
23%
15%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
BEN
2 - 0
PAG
79%
16%
5%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
PAG
2 - 0
CAR
31%
28%
41%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
NOC
1 - 4
PAG
79%
15%
6%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | +3 |