Frosinone vs FC Südtirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frosinone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SPE
2 - 1
FRO
38%
27%
34%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2012 |
FRO
2 - 1
SSB
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SIR
1 - 0
FRO
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
FRO
1 - 1
FER
77%
16%
7%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
POR
1 - 0
FRO
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Südtirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
FCS
2 - 0
FER
56%
25%
19%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
PIA
0 - 0
FCS
65%
21%
15%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
FCS
2 - 0
USC
19%
28%
54%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
TRA
1 - 0
FCS
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
FCS
1 - 2
SPE
33%
29%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |