Frosinone vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frosinone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
TER
0 - 1
FRO
30%
28%
42%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
FRO
1 - 0
CAR
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LIV
0 - 0
FRO
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
FRO
1 - 0
LAT
58%
25%
18%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
FRO
2 - 1
PES
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
BOL
2 - 0
CAT
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
BOL
40%
29%
32%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BOL
0 - 0
SPE
53%
27%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BRE
1 - 1
BOL
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 0
BOL
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |