Frosinone vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
9.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frosinone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2009 |
GRO
2 - 1
FRO
53%
24%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
FRO
1 - 0
CTT
54%
25%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
VIC
0 - 1
FRO
48%
25%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
FRO
2 - 0
ABN
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
SAS
1 - 1
FRO
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
CAV
2 - 2
VAR
68%
20%
12%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
VAR
2 - 1
ACM
63%
22%
15%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
FCS
1 - 1
VAR
39%
29%
32%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
VAR
1 - 1
FSD
72%
19%
9%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
LEO
2 - 1
VAR
35%
30%
36%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |