Frosinone vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
9.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frosinone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
PRO
0 - 0
FRO
28%
26%
46%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
FRO
1 - 2
ASL
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
PAV
1 - 0
FIA
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ACI
1 - 2
PAV
54%
26%
21%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
REG
0 - 2
PAV
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
PAV
3 - 2
SPA
35%
29%
36%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
PAD
4 - 0
PAV
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |