Frome Town vs Winchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
48.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
21º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
6º
22º
15º
31
15º
20º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 96 |
1º
|
76.5% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 90 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 77 |
3º
|
36.5% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 76 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 73 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 68 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 63 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 60 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 57 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 57 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 54 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 54 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 52 |
13º
|
6% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 50 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
21º
|
25 | 46 |
15º
|
10% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 46 |
16º
|
7% | |
|
|
16º
|
31 | 46 |
17º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
30 | 45 |
18º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 44 |
19º
|
13% | |
|
19º
|
29 | 44 |
20º
|
12.5% | |
|
20º
|
26 | 40 |
21º
|
27% | |
|
22º
|
19 | 27 |
22º
|
91.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
68% | 68% |
|
Relegation
|
32% | 32% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frome Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SHO
1 - 1
FRO
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
MER
4 - 0
FRO
80%
13%
7%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
FRO
2 - 2
WAL
21%
22%
58%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
FRO
2 - 3
POO
29%
22%
49%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
GLO
2 - 0
FRO
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Winchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
HAN
1 - 1
WIN
52%
22%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
TAV
0 - 4
WIN
27%
23%
50%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
WIN
2 - 4
GLO
32%
25%
44%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
WIN
2 - 1
WAL
27%
25%
49%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
SWI
2 - 0
WIN
45%
22%
33%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -2 |