Frohnleiten vs TUS Heiligenkreuz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
65.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-65%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
10º
16º
16º
22
5º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 62 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 56 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 54 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 53 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 51 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 51 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 49 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 46 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 44 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 43 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 42 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 32 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 26 |
14º
|
57.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 20 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
1 | 9 |
16º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frohnleiten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FRO
2 - 2
BRU
61%
19%
20%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
SVF
6 - 0
FRO
68%
18%
14%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
USV
2 - 3
FRO
10%
16%
74%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
FRO
4 - 0
HGK
22%
22%
56%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2017 |
ZEL
1 - 1
FRO
11%
18%
72%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
TUS Heiligenkreuz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
ANN
7 - 3
HGK
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
KAL
5 - 0
HGK
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
HGK
3 - 1
FCS
67%
17%
16%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
SCB
0 - 1
HGK
38%
22%
40%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
HGK
1 - 1
FUR
45%
22%
33%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |