Friska Viljor vs Karlberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
44.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
12º
16º
15º
36
4º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
53 | 66 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
1º
|
55 | 66 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 64 |
3º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 46 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 45 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 44 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 44 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 40 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 35 |
10º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 33 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 32 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 31 |
13º
|
29.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 28 |
14º
|
34% | |
|
|
15º
|
18 | 25 |
15º
|
39.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 23 |
16º
|
53% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
87.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Friska Viljor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
PIT
2 - 1
FRI
58%
22%
21%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
FRI
1 - 5
UME
22%
24%
54%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FRI
0 - 2
SOL
29%
23%
48%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
AFC
7 - 1
FRI
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
FRI
4 - 1
TAB
45%
23%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Karlberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 1
OST
27%
24%
49%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KAL
3 - 2
STO
24%
24%
52%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
HTF
0 - 1
KAL
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
KAL
3 - 2
ORE
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
KAL
7 - 0
FRA
71%
17%
12%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |