Frigg vs Vard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
57.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frigg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
EGE
6 - 0
FRI
72%
17%
10%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
FRI
6 - 0
STO
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
FYL
1 - 3
FRI
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
FRI
0 - 3
FLO
13%
20%
67%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
NES
6 - 1
FRI
82%
12%
6%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
LOR
4 - 0
VAR
20%
22%
58%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 0
EGE
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
STO
0 - 0
VAR
19%
21%
60%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 0
FYL
74%
15%
10%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
FLO
4 - 2
VAR
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |