Frigg vs Nordstrand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
18.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
3º
13º
3º
56
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 62 |
1º
|
74% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 57 |
2º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
46 | 52 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 50 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
6º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 33 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 33 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 30 |
10º
|
59.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 25 |
11º
|
63% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 23 |
12º
|
71.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 16 |
13º
|
98% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 74% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 26% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frigg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RAU
2 - 0
FRI
72%
15%
12%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ASK
3 - 1
FRI
19%
19%
62%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SKE
2 - 4
FRI
7%
11%
82%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FRI
7 - 0
ILG
91%
6%
3%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SKJ
0 - 6
FRI
14%
16%
71%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Nordstrand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NOR
0 - 1
GRO
22%
22%
56%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SKE
0 - 2
NOR
59%
20%
21%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
NOR
0 - 3
ULL
17%
19%
64%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 0
ASK
59%
20%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 3
NOR
24%
20%
56%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |