Frickley Athletic vs Buxton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frickley Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SAL
2 - 2
FRI
67%
20%
14%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2016 |
ILK
0 - 2
FRI
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
FRI
3 - 0
RAM
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
FRI
0 - 2
RUS
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
WHI
1 - 1
FRI
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
DAR
3 - 1
BUX
65%
21%
14%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
BUX
2 - 2
SUT
52%
23%
24%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SAL
2 - 0
BUX
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
BUX
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
ASH
3 - 1
BUX
58%
23%
20%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |