Friburguense vs Vasco da Gama analysis

Friburguense Vasco da Gama
50 ELO 78
1.5% Tilt -6.2%
6146º General ELO ranking 158º
257º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
12.8%
Friburguense
21.5%
Draw
65.7%
Vasco da Gama

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
Friburguense
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
65.7%
Win probability
Vasco da Gama
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Friburguense
-9%
+6%
Vasco da Gama

ELO progression

Friburguense
Vasco da Gama
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Friburguense
Friburguense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 2015
FRI
Friburguense
1 - 1
Volta Redonda
VOL
36%
28%
37%
48 55 7 0
26 Mar. 2015
NOV
Nova Iguaçu
1 - 0
Friburguense
FRI
35%
27%
38%
49 44 5 -1
21 Mar. 2015
RES
Resende
2 - 0
Friburguense
FRI
49%
25%
26%
50 51 1 -1
15 Mar. 2015
FRI
Friburguense
1 - 1
Bangu
BAN
44%
26%
30%
50 52 2 0
12 Mar. 2015
FRI
Friburguense
1 - 2
Madureira RJ
MAD
42%
27%
31%
51 55 4 -1

Matches

Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Apr. 2015
RIO
Rio Branco Acre
1 - 2
Vasco da Gama
VAS
12%
21%
67%
78 45 33 0
29 Mar. 2015
VAS
Vasco da Gama
1 - 1
Botafogo
BOT
53%
24%
23%
78 76 2 0
26 Mar. 2015
BOA
Boavista SC
1 - 2
Vasco da Gama
VAS
13%
21%
66%
78 47 31 0
22 Mar. 2015
FLA
Flamengo
2 - 1
Vasco da Gama
VAS
59%
23%
18%
78 82 4 0
15 Mar. 2015
VAS
Vasco da Gama
5 - 1
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
84%
13%
4%
78 45 33 0
X