Friburguense vs Portuguesa RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
NOV
2 - 0
FRI
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
AME
1 - 2
FRI
54%
23%
22%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
FRI
1 - 1
AME
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2019 |
FRI
1 - 0
GOY
49%
26%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
GOY
0 - 2
FRI
47%
26%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
POR
2 - 0
AME
37%
27%
35%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
POR
0 - 1
BON
28%
26%
45%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2019 |
BON
0 - 0
POR
55%
25%
21%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
SAM
2 - 0
POR
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
POR
2 - 0
SAM
47%
27%
26%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |