Friburguense vs Pérolas Negras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
33.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AME
4 - 0
FRI
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
FRI
0 - 1
AME
34%
27%
40%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
SER
0 - 1
FRI
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
FRI
3 - 0
CIG
62%
20%
18%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MAC
3 - 4
FRI
29%
25%
47%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Pérolas Negras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
PER
2 - 3
DUQ
41%
27%
31%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 1
PER
30%
25%
45%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
PER
0 - 1
GOY
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
SER
0 - 3
PER
30%
24%
46%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PER
2 - 0
MAC
45%
23%
33%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |