Friburguense vs Olaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
VOL
1 - 0
FRI
43%
26%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
FRI
2 - 0
NOV
55%
24%
22%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
FRI
1 - 1
MAC
29%
24%
48%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
RES
1 - 1
FRI
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
FRI
0 - 4
FLA
13%
21%
66%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
OLA
0 - 0
VAS
10%
20%
70%
|
51 | 82 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 0
OLA
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
OLA
1 - 0
MAD
28%
27%
46%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
OLA
0 - 2
FLA
10%
19%
71%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BOA
1 - 0
OLA
59%
22%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |