Friburguense vs Mesquita FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 0
FRI
88%
9%
3%
|
53 | 85 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
FRI
0 - 2
AME
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
MAC
3 - 1
FRI
46%
24%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
FLA
4 - 1
FRI
84%
11%
4%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
FRI
1 - 2
DUQ
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Mesquita FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
MES
3 - 1
BAN
26%
25%
49%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
MES
4 - 2
DUQ
25%
25%
50%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
AME
1 - 1
MES
69%
18%
14%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
FLU
4 - 1
MES
90%
8%
2%
|
39 | 83 | 44 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
MES
2 - 2
CAM
60%
22%
19%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |