Friburguense vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
73.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
FRI
2 - 1
CAB
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
DUQ
0 - 1
FRI
42%
24%
34%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
FRI
2 - 1
TIG
54%
24%
23%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
VAS
3 - 0
FRI
87%
10%
3%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MAC
4 - 0
FRI
48%
24%
29%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
BAN
1 - 3
FLU
12%
21%
67%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
FLU
3 - 1
MAC
83%
13%
5%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
FLU
2 - 1
VOL
84%
12%
4%
|
82 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
MES
0 - 1
FLU
8%
16%
76%
|
82 | 43 | 39 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
FLU
3 - 0
NAC
86%
11%
3%
|
82 | 43 | 39 | 0 |