Friburguense vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
64.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
VAS
6 - 0
FRI
85%
12%
3%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
DUQ
0 - 1
FRI
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
FRI
1 - 2
BAN
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
FRI
3 - 0
SAO
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
CER
1 - 0
FRI
31%
26%
44%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 2
DUQ
81%
15%
5%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
VOL
0 - 1
FLA
14%
22%
64%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
FLA
1 - 0
AUD
84%
12%
4%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 1
CRZ
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
VIT
4 - 2
FLA
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |