Friburguense vs Bonsucesso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAB
3 - 0
FRI
40%
26%
35%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
FRI
0 - 3
BOT
17%
23%
61%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
FRI
3 - 0
TIG
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 2
FRI
26%
26%
49%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
FRI
1 - 1
MAC
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
TIG
0 - 0
BON
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
BON
1 - 1
MAC
20%
24%
56%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
BON
0 - 0
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
BOT
4 - 0
BON
79%
15%
6%
|
46 | 76 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
BON
0 - 2
BAN
35%
27%
37%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |