Friburguense vs Audax Rio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
DUQ
1 - 2
FRI
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
FRI
2 - 1
BAN
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FRI
3 - 1
CRA
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 0
FRI
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
FRI
2 - 1
CEI
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Audax Rio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
AUD
2 - 1
NOV
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
OLA
0 - 0
AUD
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 4
AUD
36%
24%
40%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
AUD
3 - 0
SER
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
GOY
3 - 2
AUD
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |