Friburguense vs CEAC / Araruama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
51.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
FRI
1 - 0
RES
14%
22%
64%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
AME
2 - 1
FRI
72%
18%
10%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
FRI
0 - 1
AME
13%
21%
66%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
PET
2 - 1
FRI
71%
20%
10%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
FRI
1 - 2
MAC
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
CEAC / Araruama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
ADC
1 - 1
CMA
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
CAB
2 - 1
ADC
37%
24%
39%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
AFC
3 - 2
ADC
38%
24%
38%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
ADC
1 - 1
AME
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
AME
0 - 0
ADC
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |