Fribourg vs Naters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
19.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fribourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
DUD
2 - 0
FRI
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
FRI
3 - 0
TER
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
FRI
1 - 0
MEY
44%
24%
33%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
LAN
0 - 2
FRI
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
FRI
1 - 1
BAV
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
NAT
2 - 1
BAV
57%
21%
22%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
FCA
1 - 1
NAT
43%
23%
34%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
NAT
1 - 5
YOU
24%
22%
54%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 3
NAT
40%
24%
37%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
NAT
3 - 2
BUL
74%
16%
11%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |