Fribourg vs Naters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
26.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fribourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
FCM
3 - 3
FRI
44%
23%
33%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
FRI
3 - 0
MAR
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ECH
5 - 2
FRI
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
FRI
0 - 1
YVE
34%
24%
42%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
BUL
0 - 2
FRI
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NAT
5 - 1
MEY
24%
24%
53%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
NAT
0 - 1
DUD
35%
23%
42%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
FCM
4 - 1
NAT
53%
22%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
NAT
3 - 0
MAR
39%
25%
37%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
ECH
1 - 1
NAT
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |