Fribourg vs Matran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.4%
13.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
14º
16º
15º
13
7º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
84.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 44 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 40 |
11º
|
82% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 36 |
12º
|
91% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
13º
|
80% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
14º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
8 | 20 |
15º
|
53% | |
|
|
15º
|
13 | 14 |
16º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
10% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
90% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fribourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ROM
3 - 1
FRI
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FRI
1 - 2
BBB
20%
19%
62%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FCA
5 - 0
FRI
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FRI
1 - 3
GUM
44%
22%
34%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 0
FRI
69%
17%
15%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Matran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MAT
1 - 1
DUD
8%
12%
80%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
TAV
4 - 3
MAT
83%
11%
6%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MAT
0 - 5
LAU
5%
10%
84%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 0
MAT
63%
18%
19%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MAT
0 - 3
FCC
15%
18%
67%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | -1 |