Fribourg vs La Tour / Le Pâquier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
28%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
14º
16º
15º
37
3º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
84.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 44 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
37 | 40 |
11º
|
82% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 36 |
12º
|
91% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
13º
|
80% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
14º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
8 | 20 |
15º
|
53% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 14 |
16º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
10% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
90% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fribourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
DUD
0 - 0
FRI
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FRI
1 - 4
TAV
46%
23%
31%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LAU
4 - 0
FRI
81%
12%
7%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FRI
1 - 3
FCS
52%
20%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
STA
2 - 5
FRI
43%
24%
34%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
La Tour / Le Pâquier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
TPA
2 - 3
BBB
24%
20%
56%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
DUD
7 - 3
TPA
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
TPA
0 - 2
FCA
29%
22%
49%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
TAV
1 - 2
TPA
55%
22%
24%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
TPA
4 - 2
FCS
84%
11%
6%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |