Fresno Fuego vs Phoenix Rising analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
25.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fresno Fuego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2017 |
BDR
0 - 3
FRE
29%
25%
47%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
FRE
4 - 1
MAQ
83%
10%
7%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
FRE
4 - 0
BDR
67%
18%
15%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
FRE
2 - 3
BDR
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2016 |
FRA
0 - 2
FRE
15%
21%
64%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Phoenix Rising
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
ARI
2 - 1
OKC
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ARI
0 - 4
REN
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
ARI
4 - 3
SPK
30%
26%
44%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ARI
2 - 1
LAG
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
MON
2 - 0
ARI
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |