Fresno FC vs Saint Louis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fresno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
LAG
2 - 1
FFC
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
SAC
1 - 0
FFC
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
TUL
1 - 1
FFC
23%
24%
53%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
OKC
0 - 0
FFC
30%
27%
43%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
FFC
4 - 0
ARI
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Saint Louis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
LOU
2 - 1
SAC
35%
28%
37%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
LOU
4 - 1
LVG
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
LOU
2 - 0
SEA
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
REN
1 - 2
LOU
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
LOU
2 - 2
ORA
33%
28%
40%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |