Fresno FC vs Real Monarchs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fresno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
OKC
1 - 2
FFC
32%
28%
40%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
FFC
2 - 1
LVG
73%
17%
11%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
AUB
1 - 0
FFC
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
FFC
2 - 1
POR
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
FFC
2 - 1
NMU
48%
25%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
MON
4 - 1
TUL
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
MON
1 - 0
COL
74%
16%
10%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
USA
3 - 1
MON
40%
25%
34%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
EPL
0 - 0
MON
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
MON
5 - 0
TAC
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |