Fresno FC vs Real Monarchs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fresno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
FFC
3 - 0
COL
53%
24%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
RGV
2 - 1
FFC
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
FFC
2 - 2
POR
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
FFC
0 - 1
ORA
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SPK
1 - 0
FFC
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
MON
2 - 1
OKC
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MON
0 - 2
COL
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
LAG
6 - 1
MON
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
ORA
5 - 2
MON
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
LOU
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |