Fremad Amager vs Thisted analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
4º
10º
8º
17
3º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fremad Amager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ESB
4 - 1
BFR
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
HEL
2 - 1
BFR
25%
22%
53%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
BFR
2 - 1
HEL
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
ESB
2 - 2
BFR
58%
21%
21%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
BFR
2 - 0
IIF
55%
22%
24%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
THI
1 - 3
MID
24%
25%
50%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
THI
4 - 3
BRA
50%
24%
27%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 2
THI
30%
25%
45%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
VFF
1 - 1
THI
83%
12%
5%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
HOL
2 - 4
THI
28%
23%
49%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |