Fremad Amager vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
55.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
3º
3º
16
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
16 | 46 |
1º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 40 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
17 | 36 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 35 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 33 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 30 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 29 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 29 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 28 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 28 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 21 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 15 |
12º
|
64% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
86.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fremad Amager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
BFR
0 - 5
FCN
12%
18%
71%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
THI
1 - 3
BFR
24%
25%
51%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
BFR
3 - 0
AKA
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
LFA
2 - 2
BFR
27%
22%
51%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
LFA
0 - 2
BFR
35%
25%
41%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
AAF
2 - 1
FRE
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
THI
0 - 2
AAF
13%
20%
67%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
AAF
1 - 0
HEL
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
SKI
2 - 1
AAF
16%
18%
66%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
AAF
1 - 1
FCH
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |