Frem 1886 vs Næstved analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
64.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frem 1886
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
NAS
4 - 2
FRE
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 2
ROS
20%
20%
60%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
FRE
1 - 2
FA2
31%
24%
46%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
FRE
2 - 1
HEL
39%
23%
38%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
FRE
2 - 2
TAR
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Næstved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
NAE
1 - 4
SON
23%
24%
53%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
HOB
3 - 2
NAE
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
FCH
2 - 1
NAE
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
NAE
2 - 0
FA2
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
FCN
3 - 0
NAE
76%
15%
9%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |