Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 2-4
Frem 1886 vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
61%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frem 1886
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
GCZ
6 - 1
FRE
83%
11%
6%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
FRE
0 - 2
GCZ
27%
22%
51%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
TWE
4 - 0
FRE
81%
13%
6%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1972 |
FRE
0 - 5
TWE
28%
27%
45%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1972 |
FRE
2 - 1
SOC
29%
21%
50%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1978 |
ASN
1 - 2
SOC
63%
21%
17%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1978 |
BAS
5 - 1
ASN
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1978 |
ASN
1 - 1
MET
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1978 |
GIR
0 - 0
ASN
43%
25%
33%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1978 |
ASN
3 - 1
NIC
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |