Frem 1886 vs Middelfart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
2º
7º
4º
10
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
13 | 43 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
|
6º
|
10 | 37 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 37 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
11 | 36 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 35 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 31 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 29 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 27 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 26 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 26 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 21 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 18 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
81% | 87% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
19% | 13% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frem 1886
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
BFR
1 - 1
FRE
32%
26%
43%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
BBK
1 - 6
FRE
8%
14%
78%
|
57 | 8 | 49 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 0
SKI
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FRE
3 - 0
SUN
72%
16%
12%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FRE
3 - 0
AVA
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Middelfart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MID
3 - 1
AAF
27%
25%
48%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
MID
0 - 0
OBK
14%
19%
68%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
THI
1 - 0
MID
20%
25%
55%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MID
0 - 1
BRA
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MID
2 - 1
SKI
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |